Supply Zone vs Demand Zone
Every price reversal starts with an imbalance. Supply zones mark where sellers overwhelmed buyers. Demand zones mark where buyers overwhelmed sellers. Both are identified the same way — a sharp move in one direction, a pivot, and an impulsive move in the opposite direction.
Demand Zone
- Buyers overwhelmed sellers at this level
- Found after sharp down move + impulsive up move
- Drawn from last sell candle before the impulse up
- Expectation: price returns here and bounces up again
Supply Zone
- Sellers overwhelmed buyers at this level
- Found after sharp up move + impulsive down move
- Drawn from last buy candle before the impulse down
- Expectation: price returns here and drops again
The Core Pattern
Both supply and demand zones share the same DNA: a sharp move in one direction, a pivot candle, and an impulsive move in the opposite direction.
Demand Zone Formation
Sharp down → Last sell candle (pivot) → Impulsive up
Supply Zone Formation
Sharp up → Last buy candle (pivot) → Impulsive down
3 Ways to Draw the Zone
1. Full Candle Body (Default)
Use the high and low (including wicks) of the pivot candle. This gives the broadest zone and is the most reliable method.
Best for: All scenarios. Start here.
2. Wick Refinement
When the pivot candle has a large wick, refine the zone to just the wick area. This gives a tighter entry. On a lower timeframe, you'd see the same sharp-move-then-impulse pattern within that wick.
Best for: Large-wick pivot candles where the full candle zone is too wide.
3. Pivot Wicks (Between Candles)
The gap between one candle's wick and the next candle's open creates a mini-zone. This often appears in continuation moves where two impulsive candles have a brief pause between them.
Best for: Continuation setups and lower-timeframe refined entries.
Side-by-Side Comparison
| Feature | Demand Zone | Supply Zone |
|---|---|---|
| Represents | Buying pressure (institutional demand) | Selling pressure (institutional supply) |
| Location in trend | At lows (swing lows, higher lows) | At highs (swing highs, lower highs) |
| Preceding move | Sharp move down | Sharp move up |
| Pivot candle | Last sell (bearish) candle | Last buy (bullish) candle |
| Following move | Impulsive move up | Impulsive move down |
| Zone drawn from | High to low of pivot candle | High to low of pivot candle |
| When it holds | Higher low forms, bullish trend continues | Lower high forms, bearish trend continues |
| When it fails | Lower low forms, bearish shift | Higher high forms, bullish shift |
| In control when | Demand holds + supply fails = bullish | Supply holds + demand fails = bearish |
Why Institutions Create These Zones
Large funds can't fill their positions in one go — there's not enough liquidity. They execute a portion, price moves away, and when price returns to their entry level, they execute the remainder.
We're not trading like institutions. We're tracking the footprints of large order flow and positioning ourselves to benefit when those orders re-enter at the same price levels.
We don't know why institutions are buying or selling at a particular level. We only know that a volume imbalance occurred there, and historical patterns suggest it may happen again.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is supply and demand the same as support and resistance?
Related but not identical. Support/resistance are horizontal levels where price has reacted before. Supply/demand zones are specific areas derived from volume imbalances — they're based on the mechanics of how the zone formed (sharp pivot + impulsive move), not just where price bounced.
How do I know if a zone is still valid?
A zone is valid until it's been tested and broken. If price returns to the zone and gets a reaction (bounce), the zone held. If price pushes through the zone with an impulsive move, the zone has failed and is no longer valid.
Should I use the wick or the body to draw the zone?
Default: use the full candle (high to low, including wicks). Refine to just the wick when the pivot candle is very large and you want a tighter zone. Both are valid approaches.
What makes one zone stronger than another?
The strength of the impulsive move away from the zone. A zone followed by massive momentum candles is stronger than one followed by a gradual drift. Also, zones at the extreme of a structural range are stronger than decisional zones in the middle.
Related Topics
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