Core Concepts
Expectation Order Flow
The directional framework: if highs fail and demand holds, the market is bullish — and vice versa
Expectation order flow combines market structure and order flow into a single directional bias. The core rule: if highs are failing and demand is holding, the market is bullish and demand is in control. If lows are failing and supply is holding, the market is bearish and supply is in control. As long as these conditions continue, you trade accordingly. When they stop being true — a high fails but demand also fails, or a low fails but supply also fails — it signals a potential reversal. This framework determines whether structure breaks are genuine or sweeps.
✓How to Recognize
- •Bullish: highs are failing (breaking) while demand zones hold
- •Bearish: lows are failing (breaking) while supply zones hold
- •Cycle continues: high breaks → pullback to demand → demand holds → next high breaks
- •Reversal signal: high breaks AND demand also fails (or low breaks AND supply fails)
⚡How to Avoid
- →Trading against established expectation order flow without reversal confirmation
- →Ignoring the cycle: always check if the next zone holds after a break
- →Confusing a single zone failure with a full reversal (need complete order flow shift)
- →Not combining with liquidity concepts when zones get swept