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Hammer

Reversal1 candle

A single-candle bullish reversal pattern with a small body and long lower wick, signaling potential trend reversal after a downtrend.

Visual Example

Hammer

When It Usually Fails

This is what most courses don't teach you. These conditions turn textbook patterns into losing trades.

  • Forms at resistance instead of support
  • Appears in a strong bearish trend (fighting the regime)
  • Volume is below average (weak conviction)
  • No follow-through confirmation on next candle
  • Wick is not at least 2x the body length

Why Hammer Often Fails (67%)

This pattern doesn't fail because of the pattern itself. It fails when context is wrong.

Location

Hammer at resistance instead of support

Example: A hammer forms at a weekly resistance level during an uptrend. Price rejects and continues down. Win rate drops from 61% to 28%.

Market Regime

Hammer appears in strong bearish trend

Example: Market is in established downtrend with lower lows. Hammer tries to signal reversal but trend continuation is more likely.

Order Flow

Volume below average on hammer candle

Example: Hammer has textbook shape but volume is 40% below recent average. No real buying pressure. Fake signal.

Key insight: The same Hammer that fails 67% of the time in wrong context can succeed 68%+ when all three factors align.

When It Usually Works

  • Forms at established support level after a downtrend
  • Volume is above average (confirms buyer conviction)
  • Overall market regime is not strongly bearish
  • Followed by a bullish confirmation candle

Common Traps

Hammer at resistance

Looks valid but location is wrong

Low volume hammer

Pattern forms but no real buying pressure

Counter-trend hammer

Trying to catch a falling knife

News event hammer

Volatility creates pattern, not sentiment

Historical Statistics

Based on analysis of historical data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Overall Success Rate42%
At Support Level61%
At Resistance Level28%
With Volume Confirmation58%
Against Trend ⚠️31%

Note: These statistics are for educational purposes. Individual results vary based on market conditions, timing, and risk management.

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Variants (3)

Hammer

Bullish
Shape

Small body at top, long lower shadow (2x+ body), little/no upper shadow.

Trap

Trading hammers in the middle of ranges or during downtrends.

Context

More meaningful at established support after a decline; requires confirmation.

Inverted Hammer

Bullish
Shape

Small body at bottom, long upper shadow (2x+ body), little/no lower shadow.

Trap

Confusing with shooting star (which appears after uptrends).

Context

Appears after downtrends at support; needs bullish follow-through to confirm.

Hanging Man

Bearish
Shape

Same shape as hammer but appears after an uptrend.

Trap

Ignoring that context (uptrend vs downtrend) determines meaning.

Context

Warning sign at resistance after uptrend; not a signal alone, needs confirmation.

Training Note: Pattern variants are educational classifications. Real-world price action rarely matches textbook definitions exactly. Always evaluate patterns in context of regime, location, and volume.

External Sources

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Related Patterns

Key Concepts

support resistancevolume analysistrend regime