Core Concepts

Premium / Discount Pricing

Above the 50% level of a leg is premium (expensive), below is discount (cheap) — trade supply in premium and demand in discount

Premium and discount pricing divides every leg (swing high to swing low) at the 50% equilibrium level. Premium is above the midpoint — where price is expensive and supply zones are most effective. Discount is below the midpoint — where price is cheap and demand zones produce the strongest reactions. This framework prevents you from buying in premium or selling in discount, which is the most common structural mistake.

How to Recognize

  • Draw the 50% level between the current swing high and swing low to divide the leg into premium and discount
  • In a bearish leg, expect price to correct into premium before the next bearish impulse — sell supply in premium
  • In a bullish leg, expect price to correct into discount before the next bullish impulse — buy demand in discount
  • The stronger the zone AND the deeper it sits in premium/discount, the higher the probability of reaction

How to Avoid

  • Buying demand zones that sit in premium — price is expensive and the demand is likely a complex pullback
  • Selling supply zones that sit in discount — price is cheap and the supply lacks conviction
  • Ignoring the 50% equilibrium when ranking zones — location within premium/discount directly affects probability
  • Treating all zones equally regardless of their premium/discount positioning