Pro Trend vs Counter Trend
Pro trend trades follow the established 4H direction (higher probability). Counter trend trades go against it (need more confirmation).
Pro trend moves trade in the direction of the established 4-hour trend. In a bullish trend (HH/HL confirmed), pro trend means buying pullbacks into 4H demand zones. These setups have higher probability because momentum is already established, and they need less confirmation — a 5-minute order flow shift into the 4H zone is often sufficient. Counter trend moves trade against the 4-hour direction, typically after a change of character. These offer potentially bigger reward-to-risk (catching the reversal) but have lower probability and require the full confirmation stack (4H → 15m → 5m → 1m). Your framework should define exactly when each is allowed. For prop firm challenges, pro trend setups should be the primary focus. Counter trend should be used sparingly and only with full confirmation.
✓How to Recognize
- •Pro trend: 4H trend established, trade pullbacks to demand/supply in the direction of momentum
- •Counter trend: 4H CHoCH present, trade against the previous direction with full confirmation
- •Pro trend needs less confirmation (5m shift sufficient), counter trend needs full stack
- •Expected win rate: pro trend 35-45%, counter trend 25-35%
⚡How to Avoid
- →Taking counter trend trades without full confirmation (15m + 5m + 1m)
- →Forcing pro trend trades after a 4H CHoCH (the trend may have shifted)
- →Using counter trend as your primary setup during prop firm challenges
- →Not defining in your framework when each type is allowed