Morning Star
反转3 根蜡烛三根蜡烛的看涨反转形态,中间蜡烛较小,表示下跌趋势的结束。
视觉示例
通常何时失效
这是大多数课程不教你的内容。这些条件会将教科书形态变成亏损交易。
- 第三根蜡烛较弱(收盘不够高)
- 没有明确的前期下跌趋势
- 在区间中间形成
- 第三根蜡烛成交量减少
Why Morning Star Often Fails (52%)
This pattern doesn't fail because of the pattern itself. It fails when context is wrong.
Location
Morning Star appears in mid-range or at resistance
Example: Pattern forms in middle of consolidation zone with no clear support below. No level to reverse from. Price continues ranging.
Market Regime
No clear downtrend to reverse
Example: Market has been ranging for days. Morning Star appears but there's no bearish trend to exhaust. Pattern is meaningless without prior trend.
Order Flow
Third candle has decreasing volume
Example: Third bullish candle looks strong visually but volume is 50% below average. No buyer conviction. Likely a false reversal.
Key insight: The same Morning Star that fails 52% of the time in wrong context can succeed 68%+ when all three factors align.
通常何时有效
- 在明确下跌趋势后于已建立的支撑位形成
- 第三根蜡烛收盘价高于第一根蜡烛的中点
- 第三根蜡烛成交量增加
- 第一根和第二根蜡烛之间有缺口(理想但非必需)
常见陷阱
弱第三根蜡烛:没有收复足够的空间
区间内的晨星:没有趋势可逆转
成交量衰减:买方不坚定
历史统计
基于历史数据分析。过去的表现不保证未来的结果。
注意:这些统计数据仅供教育目的。个人结果因市场条件、时机和风险管理而异。
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Classic Morning Star
Three candles: bearish, small-bodied (gap down), bullish closing into first candle.
Not waiting for the third candle to confirm the pattern.
Reversal pattern at support after decline; gap and third candle strength matter.
Morning Doji Star
Same as morning star but middle candle is a doji.
Treating the doji alone as the signal before pattern completes.
Doji adds indecision element; still requires strong bullish third candle.
训练说明: 形态变体是教育分类。真实的价格行为很少完全符合教科书定义。始终在状态、位置和成交量的背景下评估形态。
练习此形态
通过真实的 Morning Star 场景每日训练来培养直觉。