Shooting Star
反转1 根蜡烛单根蜡烛的看跌反转形态，具有小实体和长上影线，在上涨趋势后预示可能的趋势反转。
视觉示例
通常何时失效
这是大多数课程不教你的内容。这些条件会将教科书形态变成亏损交易。
- 在支撑位而非阻力位形成
- 出现在强劲的看涨趋势中（与动能对抗）
- 成交量低于平均水平
- 下一根蜡烛没有确认
Why Shooting Star Often Fails (60%)
This pattern doesn't fail because of the pattern itself. It fails when context is wrong.
Location
Shooting Star at support instead of resistance
Example: Pattern forms at a support level during an uptrend. Upper wick shows rejection, but there's no resistance to reject from. Win rate drops to 25%.
Market Regime
Appears in strong bullish trend
Example: Market is making higher highs consistently. Shooting Star tries to signal reversal but trend momentum is too strong. Uptrend continues.
Order Flow
Below average volume on rejection candle
Example: Shooting Star looks perfect visually but volume is 40% below average. No real selling pressure behind the rejection. Fake signal.
Key insight: The same Shooting Star that fails 60% of the time in wrong context can succeed 68%+ when all three factors align.
通常何时有效
- 在上涨趋势后于已建立的阻力位形成
- 上影线至少是实体长度的2倍
- 成交量高于平均水平
- 随后出现看跌确认蜡烛
常见陷阱
支撑位流星线：位置完全错误
低成交量拒绝：没有真正的卖盘压力
牛市流星线：趋势太强无法逆转
历史统计
基于历史数据分析。过去的表现不保证未来的结果。
注意：这些统计数据仅供教育目的。个人结果因市场条件、时机和风险管理而异。
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变体 (1)
Shooting Star
Small body at bottom, long upper shadow (2x+ body), little/no lower shadow.
Confusing with inverted hammer (which appears after downtrends).
Warning sign at resistance after uptrend; needs bearish follow-through.
训练说明: 形态变体是教育分类。真实的价格行为很少完全符合教科书定义。始终在状态、位置和成交量的背景下评估形态。
练习此形态
通过真实的 Shooting Star 场景每日训练来培养直觉。