锤子线
反转1 根蜡烛单根蜡烛的看涨反转形态，具有小实体和长下影线，在下跌趋势后预示可能的趋势反转。
视觉示例
通常何时失效
这是大多数课程不教你的内容。这些条件会将教科书形态变成亏损交易。
- 在阻力位而非支撑位形成
- 出现在强劲的看跌趋势中（与趋势对抗）
- 成交量低于平均水平（信念薄弱）
- 下一根蜡烛没有确认
- 下影线不足实体长度的2倍
Why 锤子线 Often Fails (67%)
This pattern doesn't fail because of the pattern itself. It fails when context is wrong.
Location
Hammer at resistance instead of support
Example: A hammer forms at a weekly resistance level during an uptrend. Price rejects and continues down. Win rate drops from 61% to 28%.
Market Regime
Hammer appears in strong bearish trend
Example: Market is in established downtrend with lower lows. Hammer tries to signal reversal but trend continuation is more likely.
Order Flow
Volume below average on hammer candle
Example: Hammer has textbook shape but volume is 40% below recent average. No real buying pressure. Fake signal.
Key insight: The same 锤子线 that fails 67% of the time in wrong context can succeed 68%+ when all three factors align.
通常何时有效
- 在下跌趋势后于已建立的支撑位形成
- 成交量高于平均水平（确认买方信念）
- 整体市场状态不是强烈看跌
- 随后出现看涨确认蜡烛
常见陷阱
阻力位锤子线：看起来有效但位置错误
低成交量锤子线：形态形成但没有真正的买盘压力
逆势锤子线：试图接住下跌的刀
新闻事件锤子线：波动性创造形态，而非情绪
历史统计
基于历史数据分析。过去的表现不保证未来的结果。
注意：这些统计数据仅供教育目的。个人结果因市场条件、时机和风险管理而异。
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Hammer
Small body at top, long lower shadow (2x+ body), little/no upper shadow.
Trading hammers in the middle of ranges or during downtrends.
More meaningful at established support after a decline; requires confirmation.
Inverted Hammer
Small body at bottom, long upper shadow (2x+ body), little/no lower shadow.
Confusing with shooting star (which appears after uptrends).
Appears after downtrends at support; needs bullish follow-through to confirm.
Hanging Man
Same shape as hammer but appears after an uptrend.
Ignoring that context (uptrend vs downtrend) determines meaning.
Warning sign at resistance after uptrend; not a signal alone, needs confirmation.
训练说明: 形态变体是教育分类。真实的价格行为很少完全符合教科书定义。始终在状态、位置和成交量的背景下评估形态。
练习此形态
通过真实的 Hammer 场景每日训练来培养直觉。